Investing Information

Oil and petrol price reservations - investing

 

The Light Crude Nonstop Agree to hit an all-time high at $70. 85 a barrel, while Unleaded Gas Futures spiked 50% or $1 a gallon on Tuesday. However, oil clogged the week at $67. 57 a barrel, while petrol complete the week up 15%. There's still uncertainty over the area of oil and petrol disruptions in the Gulf, over the next few weeks or months, caused by cyclone Katrina. However, there are many air force custody a lid on oil and petrol prices.

The summer compelling flavor ends after Labor Day. Head Bush urged Americans to jam gasoline. Many Americans lost forceful plans for the Labor Day weekend, for the reason that of price spikes in retail gasoline. There were thousands of complaints about price gouging at gas stations last week. European governments are shipping oil and refined goods to the U. S. The U. S. authority opened the Strategic Juice Reserve, to oil firms, and floating restrictions on regional petrol standards. The biting U. S. cost-effective extension has been slowing, and may carry on to slow in advent months.

Oil and petrol may have hit short-term tops on Tuesday, while it seems oil stocks had "blow-off" tops (opposite of capitulations) Wednesday and Thursday. Consequently, oil stocks may be in a capricious range over the next few weeks, along with the stock bazaar in general.

The first chart below is an OIH weekly chart. Last week, OIH, an oil ETF (i. e. basket of oil stocks) traded amid 112 and 122. I suspect, the explosive trading range will continue, while oil stays in the $60s. OIH has major resistance in the low 120s and major aid in the low 110s. So, there may be exceptional opportunities to trade OIH options (or options on other oil stocks) next week.

The agree with chart is an SPX daily chart. There's hefty short-term assist about 1,200 (i. e. psychological support, 200 day MA, and Parabolic SAR buy signal). Last week, 1,225 was resistance. If SPX holds 1,225, it may trade up to 1,245 (recent high), and 1,253 (multi-year Fibonacci level). However, SPX has open gaps at 1,174, 1,143, and 1,138.

September options expire in two weeks. Some in progress September Max Pain expirations are: SPX 1,220 with the value of calls 150% more than the value of puts (which is bearish, for the reason that the put/call is a contrarian indicator). SPX clogged at 1,218. OEX 565 with the value of puts 130% larger than the value of calls (which is bullish). OEX congested at just over 563. QQQQ 39 with the value of puts 15% more than the value of calls. QQQQ clogged at 38 3/4. Instability as normal picks-up two weeks ahead of options expiration.

Economic gossip next week are: Mon: None (market blocked for Labor Day), Tue: Revised Productivity, and Fed's Beige Book, Wed: Unemployment Claims, and Across-the-board Inventories, and Fri: Export & Import Prices. Also, in September, the FOMC meeting, gain warnings, and end-of-the-quarter dialogue box dressing be supposed to affect the market.

The uncertainty of oil and gas prices, and financial data, caused by cyclone Katrina must be part of the cause to explosive nature over the next two weeks. The stock marketplace may carry on to consolidate, short-term, until income alert period in late September, and third cut up dividend in October.

Charts obtainable at PeakTrader. com Forum Index Marketplace Overview section.

Arthur Albert Eckart is the come to nothing and owner of PeakTrader. Arthur has worked for advertisement banks, e. g. Wells Fargo, Banc One, and First Export Technologies, all through the 1980s and 1990s. He has also worked for Janus Funds from 1999-00. Arthur Eckart has a BA & MA in Economics from the Academe of Colorado. He has worked on options collection optimization since 1998.

Mr Eckart has residential a all-inclusive trading line of attack using economics, file optimization, and industrial assay to capitalize on come again and curtail risk at the same time. This line of attack has resulted in exceptional proceeds with low risk over the past four years.


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